While national indicators point to strong growth into 2026, individual regions continue to diverge sharply as supply shortages, migration flows, and rental pressures reshape demand across the country.
Australian capital city house prices are forecast to rise 8–10% nationally in 2026, although growth is expected to vary significantly between markets.
This whitepaper investigates the predictive utility of socioeconomic fundamentals – specifically, the ABS Index of Relative Socio-economic Advantage and Disadvantage (IRSAD) – in forecasting housing market performance at the LGA level. The central hypothesis being – where IRSAD scores materially diverge from local house prices, the discrepancy may signal latent…
Over the past five years, first home buyer incentives have reshaped entry-level housing markets The evidence shows that these schemes do not move national prices but instead concentrate demand in specific segments. The consistent effect is stronger growth in suburbs priced just under scheme caps.The effect is most pronounced in…
Migration policy has long shaped the trajectory of Australia’s housing markets. In 2019, a major recalibration redefined “regional” areas as including all areas outside Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane, and strengthening visa pathways and points incentives for migrants settling in those locations. At the same time, bespoke Designated Area Migration Agreements…
Conflict in the Middle East, oil prices surging, inflation re-accelerating, and the RBA hiking rates for the second time this year. It's easy to see why property investors might be nervous in 2026.